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Jose Ancer's avatar

I'll throw in some economic concepts (I was a philosophy and economics student) that may illuminate some issues here IMO.

Power laws - the larger the market, the higher the gains for "winning" a contest. Modern knowledge work and global economies, especially in America, have *far* stronger power laws than prior generations, and also compared to smaller countries (like Israel).

The ratio of marginal benefit / marginal cost (for grinding) is *much* higher for those of elite natural talent than for "normies." If you know, either instinctively or based on data, that you're very intellectually gifted, the payoff of studying an extra 20% more is massive. You can "win" the power law tournament, be a millionaire.

Further, given how dating markets work, because you will be so high status, your costs of delaying marriage/children are far lower. Women can freeze their eggs or do surrogates. Men can just marry younger women, who are happy to "marry up" to elite status men.

None of this applies to normies. The payoff of grinding is far lower, and the fertility clock is far more salient. This is why Vivek is so wrong. He's an elite minority, as are many of our children of highly positively selected immigrants. His life strategy may be rational for people like him. It's entirely irrational for most people.

Scale this up - this is why American cultural pluralism outperforms confucian societies like China, even when "asian" minorities perform so well within western countries. "The dose makes the poison" culturally.

Academic grinding does very well in a western society with cultural pluralism. You max on your skills, but others will keep the trains running, getting married, having kids.

Why are China and South Korea having fertility crises? Confucian culture sub-optimally demands academic hunger games to far too many people.

On a separate note, going back to economics. This is all a free-rider problem, and the only solution is one that fixes the "externalities."

No amount of attempts to make parenting "higher status" will fix the fact that having fewer kids improves your status in all of the big games of life. Even mormons are headed toward below replacement. Perhaps slower, but the gravitational force is still there.

The only *real* solution is one that is very hard politically, and therefore hasn't *yet* been tried. A massive reallocation of resources and infrastructure toward parents, who are performing a "public service" not that dissimilar to military service. Far larger than what European countries have tried.

Immigration can plug some gaps, but we're seeing the limits of it with assimilation chaos.

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Patricia Zaballos's avatar

Your thoughts on intensive parents *looking* like they care more is spot on. It’s really hard to be a parent who values play and downtime for kids in this culture! I’m writing a book about this, looking at cultural shifts and also interrogating my own motherhood. (My kids are grown.) No matter what you believe, it’s really challenging to disentangle ego from parenthood. But we really need be looking at *kids* and what they need.

Happy to find your work!

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